Helmut Norpoth’s model has correctly predicted the outcome for every election since 1996, including the 2000 race where Al Gore won the popular vote but George W. Bush took the presidency.
A confidential memo obtained from Correct The Record, a Democratic Super PAC, reveals a plan to “barrage” voters with high frequency polls that show Hillary ahead in order to “declare election over,” while avoiding any mention of the Brexit vote (which completely contradicted polls that said Brexit would fail).
Emails revealed by Wikileaks show how Democratic operatives, such as John Podesta, Clinton campaign manager) planned to encourage “oversamples for polling” in order to “maximize what we get out of our media polling.” In other words, sample more Democrats than Republicans in order to make people believe that Hillary’s lead is far greater than the reality of a tight race.
Not to worry, the media already have Hillary Clinton picking out the drapes for the Oval office.
2 thoughts on “Despite the media polls, political science professor who has correctly predicted the outcome of the last 5 presidential elections says Trump has an 87% chance of winning”
Pero estoy bastante en desacuerdo con que “Gore ganó el voto popular” 😀